Record Wave of Americans Fled Big Cities for Small Ones in 2023
Remote work behind small-town boom, says Virginia demographer Hamilton Lombard from the Weldon Cooper Center.
Bloomberg
National Population Trends
States That Will Grow the Most by 2040
The United States population is projected to grow at a somewhat slower rate over the same time period — by 14%, according to the National Population Projections published by the Demographics Research Group at the University of Virginia Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service.
247Wall Street
The Boomers Who Tried Moving to Florida and Ended Up in Appalachia
Baby boomers known as “halfbacks” transform southern Appalachia.
The Wall Street Journal
How accurate are our 50-State population projections?
Whenever a prediction, forecast, or projection for the future is made, the natural question that arises is “how good is it?” After our office prepared population projections for the 50 states and D.C., we’ve been eagerly awaiting the 2020 Census results so we can answer this question for ourselves. The answer: the accuracy of our […]
COVID-19 becomes the 3rd leading cause of death in the United States
For most of the last decade, the leading causes of death in the U.S. have remained the same, and the steady increase in mortality over the years has been largely due to an aging population. But the 2020 death statistics will be different. With over 300,000 deaths projected by end of Dec 2020, COVID-19 will […]
Demographer’s Dilemma: Challenges in analyzing consequences of COVID-19
With the novel coronavirus causing a worldwide paradigm shift, I was genuinely tempted to jump into the data and analyze all possible permutations of what the potential impacts may be. Should I first plot the number of cases in Virginia with corresponding population densities on a map, or should I find causal connections between the […]
ELECTIONS 2020: Projecting eligible voters by state
Political punditry and polls often form the basis for predicting election results, but rarely are they consistent or comprehensive. Given the importance of state-level voting, and the central role played by the Electoral College in the democratic process, projecting the number of eligible voters in each state may add value to understanding the November 2020 […]
As the U.S. population grows increasingly diverse, Census race categories are struggling to keep up
In 1998, President Bill Clinton startled an audience of students by making this statement:“In a little more than 50 years there will be no majority race in the United States. No other nation in history has gone through demographic change of this magnitude in so short a time.” While few people in 1998 were aware […]
National Population Projections: 2020, 2030, 2040
Our recently released National Projections for all 50 states and the District of Columbia updated the total population, as well as population by age and sex, for 2020, 2030, and 2040, to reflect the effect of the latest demographic trends on future population. Over the projected time period, the country is expected to grow at a slower […]
In most of the United States the working age population is now shrinking
During the last three decades, growth in the U.S. working age population, ages 20 to 65, has easily outpaced total U.S. population growth. But in coming decades further growth in the working-age population is on track to be considerably slower, increasing at less than half the rate of the rest of the population. As the […]